Working Paper听1110.听Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College), "Bounded Rationality as Limited Optimization: Stochastic Gradient Descent Agents in Macroeconomic Models" (03/2026; PDF)
Working Paper听1106.听Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College),听Alexey Khazanov (Hebrew University of Jerusalem) and听Molin Zhong (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System), "A Nonlinear Dynamic Factor Model for Financial and Macroeconomic Data" (01/2026; PDF)
Working Paper 1105.听Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College) and Amazon Web Services, "Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecasting" (12/2025; PDF)
Working Paper听1101. Oleksandr Shchur (AWS), Abdul Fatir Ansari (AWS), Caner Turkmen (AWS), Lorenzo Stella (AWS), Nick Erickson (AWS), Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College), Michael Bohlke-Schneider (AWS), Yuyang Wang (AWS), "fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting", (09/2025; PDF)
Working Paper 1100. Grey Gordon (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond) and Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College), "Sovereign Default Intensity and Noise Bargaining", (11/2025; PDF)
Working Paper听1097. Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College) and James M. Nason (Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University), "Bayesian estimation of DSGE models: An update", (09/2025; PDF)
Working Paper听1088. Yuanchen Cai (AV诊所 College),听Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College), "Lopsided Interest Rates in International Borrowing Markets", (04/2025; PDF)
Working Paper听1080.听Pablo Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College),听Tomoaki Mikami (AV诊所 College),听Jaromir Nosal (AV诊所 College), "The macroeconomic implications of the Gen-AI economy", (10/2024; PDF)
Working Paper听1041. Ryan Chahrour (Cornell University),听Vito听Cormun (Santa Clara University),听Pierre听De Leo (University of Maryland),听Pablo听Guerron-Quintana (AV诊所 College), Rosen Valchev (AV诊所 College), "Exchange Rate Disconnect Revisited" (rev 05/2023; PDF)
听
